Thursday, November 29, 2007


Light posting this week, actually no posting this week. Sorry. FanHouse and real life have kept me busy lately, but I forge ahead.

After all, you don't care about my football picks, anyway. I just post them for my own amusement.

Randomization next week, plus thoughts on the end of our road trip spectacular.

We shall begin with the college games.

Last week: 5-2
Season: 124-57

Oklahoma vs. Missouri (Big 12 Championship):
I don't think this game is as simple as "OU ran roughshod over them last time, so they'll do it again". I expect Missouri to make some defensive adjustments to try to counter OU's superior athleticism. However, I see two key issues serving as Missouri's downfall in this game. For starters, that defense is still probably not good enough to stop OU consistently enough. The Sooners will move the chains and score points. Secondly, Missouri's offense will run into a problem (again) with that OU defense, which is much better than they're being given credit for.
The pick: Oklahoma

Other picks (home team in CAPS when applicable)

Navy over Army (at Baltimore)
Virginia Tech over Boston College (ACC Championship)
LSU over Tennessee (SEC Championship)
Central Michigan over Miami-OH (MAC Championship)
CENTRAL FLORIDA over Tulsa (Conference USA Championship)
HAWAI'I over Washington

In the NFL, we got this game here on Thursday. Should be a very entertaining night for the 34 of us who get the NFL Network.

I'm going to steer clear of that whole deal and save it for a later day. Personally, I don't have a major issue with the NFL's business model, but I wish they'd acknowledge that they've probably overvalued their product a good deal, and I wish the cable companies would stop playing the "Poor us" card.

Last week: 11-5
Season: 118-62

Green Bay at Dallas: Tough one. The Cowboys will move the ball, and they're likely to take advantage of Green Bay's suddenly-deficient run defense, which has been gashed by Carolina and Detroit the last two weeks. I doubt coordinator Bob Sanders is suddenly going to figure that thing out.

Terrell Owens and Patrick Crayton will conspire to have a big night. I'm not sure which one will play better, and both might be huge, but Green Bay's not shutting them both down. We don't know yet about CB Charles Woodson, but his status is vital. I doubt Al Harris can contain Owens all night, no matter how much he wants to or how hard he tries.

So, yeah, Dallas will score.

But so will Green Bay. The Packers can run the ball now, and that means safety Roy Williams can't just play center field and forget about the run. The Cowboys play a 3-4 defense, which could cause problems for the Packers, but they've handled it well so far this season (remember how good this offense was against San Diego?). I think the Packers will do the shotgun-spread thing, make Dallas thin out the defensive herd, and pick them apart.

Shootout. The old dog will come up with a new trick or two, and Favre gets his first Texas Stadium win. Why not?
The pick: Green Bay

Other games (home team in CAPS)

ST. LOUIS over Atlanta
WASHINGTON over Buffalo
Detroit over MINNESOTA
Houston over TENNESSEE
INDIANAPOLIS over Jacksonville
MIAMI over N.Y. Jets
San Diego over KANSAS CITY
San Francisco over CAROLINA
NEW ORLEANS over Tampa Bay
Cleveland over ARIZONA
Denver over OAKLAND
CHICAGO over N.Y. Giants
PITTSBURGH over Cincinnati
New England over BALTIMORE

No comments: