Thursday, October 08, 2009

College Football Weekend Preview: Time to Pay Attention to Wisconsin


Don't worry, Big Ten haters, because these days of two unbeaten teams in the league are going to end very soon.

After all, neither Wisconsin nor Iowa are any good, right? They can't be. Iowa had to block two (!) field goal attempts to beat Northern Iowa. Meanwhile, Wisconsin survived potential defensive meltdowns against Michigan State and Minnesota, and also needed double overtime to beat Fresno State (though they did have something like 45 guys affected by the flu).

Iowa doesn't dazzle you with anything offensively. Quarterback Ricky Stanzi has been mistake-prone, including a potentially deadly pick-six against Arkansas State last week, and the lack of playmakers on the outside really hurts the Hawkeyes' ability to stretch the field. However, they have a crazy-good defense, tough special teams, and the always-sound running game.

Wisconsin, meanwhile, could be as well-equipped on offense as they've been in years. Scott Tolzien has been a real find at quarterback, to the point that athletic sophomore Curt Phillips can't get on the field anymore, and Tolzien was the one ripping off a huge run against the Gophers. Meanwhile, John Clay is a monster in the backfield, and Zach Brown is also capable of making plays. Receivers Nick Toon and Isaac Anderson have developed nicely, and the Badgers have another top tight end in Garrett Graham.

Of course, they pretty much stink on defense, but they can score, and they usually will.

Odds are that one of them -- if not both -- will have a loss on their record when they clash next week in Madison. Iowa hosts Michigan Saturday night, while the Badgers visit Ohio State for a late afternoon game.

Michigan can spread the Iowa defense out, something Penn State struggled with. The Wolverines have the perimeter speed and weapons to attack the Hawkeyes, who are tough but do not have the fastest defense in the league.

Of course, Ohio State is a heavy favorite against Wisconsin, who has not seen a defense as big, strong, fast, or flat-out good as tOSU's. Of course, it could also be argued that tOSU, with heavyweights like Toledo, Navy, Indiana, Illinois, and shockingly one-dimensional USC on the schedule so far, has not seen an offense with the multiple weapons and quarterback play of the Badgers.

In the end, you have to give the advantage in this kind of game to the defense. They're at home, so they can rely on the crowd to throw the line play off a tick, and Wisconsin doesn't overwhelm you.
The pick: Ohio State

As for Michigan's offense, they were slowed down considerably by an average Michigan State defense last week. Let's not underestimate the ability of a performance like that to motivate young men, but the Wolverines were shown to be a pretty inconsistent team against Sparty. It has to be a worry, as they head into a potentially more hostile environment.

Iowa isn't flashy, but they find a way to win. Kirk Ferentz is known for the occasional resourceful team like this, and the Hawkeyes are a legit contender in the Big Ten. Should they be? Probably not, given how they had to hold on for dear life against Northern Iowa and Arkansas State. But they are. And they're going to be at Michigan.
The pick: Iowa

Nebraska at Missouri (Thursday): Missouri is unbeaten, while Nebraska lost a heartbreaker to Virginia Tech. This game should be awesome, as the Cornhuskers try to be the first team to truly shut down Blaine Gabbert, who has been awesome since taking over for Chase Daniel as Missouri's starting quarterback. The Tigers get this game at night and at home, which should serve as a major advantage, and they're probably going to have plenty of motivation, since they're ranked behind a one-loss division rival. Yes, the rankings are meaningless, but it's a virtual guarantee that this card gets played if Missouri wins. The Tigers have a good offense, but there's no question Nebraska is a better defensive team than the one Missouri ran over, under, around, and through last year in Lincoln. This year's matchup should be closer than last, but Missouri is still too strong for improving Nebraska.
The pick: Missouri

Boston College at Virginia Tech: For the Eagles, this is a chance to cement themselves as a contender in the ACC, but they may have picked a bad time to play Virginia Tech. The Hokies had a classic road letdown last week, barely beating an inferior Duke team one week after a 31-7 curbstomping of Miami. Tyrod Taylor is improving as a passer every week, and there's no reason to think the Hokies will stumble again.
The pick: Virginia Tech

Alabama at Mississippi: These are the kinds of games Houston Nutt thrives on. His team has already disappointed everyone with a poor performance, virtually ending any hope of a national championship. Now, they get Goliath on their home field, and no one thinks they have a chance. Of course, what hasn't been mentioned yet is that Nutt's Rebels don't really have a chance. The Tide will roll along.
The pick: Alabama

Florida at LSU: There are reports that Bionic Tim Tebow will miss this game. However, if you've seen LSU's defense and their roller-coaster performances this season, you'd understand that Tebow's status doesn't matter much. Les Miles finds a way to get his teams up for big games, and that defense will perform under the lights Saturday the way Tiger fans have been expecting all year. LSU will shut down Florida and win a close game. If the Tigers had more consistent quarterback play of their own, this could become a blowout.
The pick: LSU

Other games (home team in CAPS)
Auburn over ARKANSAS
MINNESOTA over Purdue
Georgia over TENNESSEE
Oklahoma State over TEXAS A&M
Georgia Tech over FLORIDA STATE

Last week: 9-4
Season: 41-22

Video: Raymond Turns on the Jets


Bulldog fans are probably quite familiar with the lightning speed of former UMD hockey star Mason Raymond. In his two years with the Bulldogs, Raymond developed into one of the top players in the WCHA, and he is now working to improve his ability in the NHL.

One of his great assets is his speed. Raymond was one of the fastest players in the WCHA, and he is definitely among the upper tier of NHL skaters.

Wednesday night, Raymond flashed his world-class speed, scoring an awesome goal against the Montreal Canadiens.



Vancouver would go on to win easily, 7-1, for their first "W" of the young season.

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

Twins Pull Off Impossible

(Photo from Wednesday's Star Tribune)

Shortly after ten Wednesday morning, I flipped on ESPN and was watching SportsCenter. Josh Elliot and Hannah Storm had baseball insider Buster Olney on, and they were about to show highlights of Tuesday's AL Central tiebreaker game.

Sometimes, you can watch something a dozen times, and still have difficulty believing everything that happened. This was one of those times.

The Tigers and Twins played an epic tiebreaker Tuesday at the Metrodome, going back and forth for almost five hours before Alexi Casilla won the game with an RBI single to right field. Carlos Gomez flew across home plate with the winning run in a 6-5 game, and the Twins are off to get killed by play the Yankees in a best-of-five starting later Wednesday in New York.

Since the Yankees won the season series 7-0 and have dominated most everyone in the American League this season, no one thinks the Twins can win. Then again, Minnesota had no business winning the division. They trailed by seven games a month ago, and it was hardly an epic choke by the Tigers that allowed them to win this thing. Instead, the Twins took the division away by finishing 17-4, winning four of their last seven against Detroit, and getting a few bounces along the way.

In the playoff game, Minnesota blew some golden chances to win. However, we also saw why this game was even necessary. A Detroit team that (arguably) has superior hitting, power, and starting pitching found a way to kick away valuable runs, while the somewhat undermanned Twins kept founding ways to get on base, manufacture runs, and even got a couple long balls thrown in.

The Metrodome even chipped in when all looked lost in the tenth inning. Leadoff hitter Michael Cuddyer hit a blooper to left field. Detroit's Ryan Raburn lost the ball in the roof/lights, and then tried to make a shoestring catch. Instead, the ball hit the turf just in front of his glove, bounced up and over the glove, and somehow eluded Curtis Granderson, who had come from center field to back up the play. Cuddyer had a triple, and he scored the game's tying run before Casilla's gaffe cost the Twins a potential win later in the inning.

The Twins are unlikely to get by against the Yankees by missing countless scoring opportunities, as they did on Tuesday. They're also unlikely to win if they have to get a bunch of innings from their bullpen, because it kind of stinks.

However, they are more than capable of getting lucky a couple times, and this team -- believe it or not -- is good enough to beat the Yankees straight-up once in a five-game series. That's all it would take.

No one is going to be silly enough to call the upset, but at least they've given themselves a chance.

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

Get to the DECC Friday!


Last year was awesome for UMD men's hockey. They made a great run in the WCHA playoffs, and nearly made the NCAA Frozen Four.

That WCHA playoff run brought UMD the Broadmoor Trophy, signifying the WCHA playoff champion. That trophy and the playoff title will be commemorated before the Bulldogs' home opener Friday at the DECC, against Lake Superior State.

Before it officially ushers in the 2008-09 hockey season, the University of Minnesota Duluth has one final bit of old business to tend to.

This Friday night (Oct. 9), the Bulldogs will recognize their conquest of the WCHA Final Five playoff championship last March by unveiling a banner and presenting the Broadmoor Trophy to the University in a special pre-game ceremony before taking on Lake Superior State University at the Duluth Entertainment and Convention Center. UMD became the first play-in game participant to claim the Final Five title in the 17-year history of that event, capping the tournament off with back-to-back shutout wins over a pair of Top 10 clubs -- the University of North Dakota and the University of Denver.

This is a chance to help honor a great accomplishment by UMD, so do what you can to get your butts in the seats early Friday night.

Monday, October 05, 2009

Pardon the Pessimism


It's not that I don't believe in my team.

It's that I don't believe in my team.

Vikings, 30-20.

Prove me wrong, Packers. Please.

BlogPoll: Oct. 7 Ballot (draft)

RankTeamDelta
1 Florida
2 Alabama
3 Texas
4 LSU
5 Cincinnati 1
6 Southern Cal 3
7 Boise State 2
8 TCU
9 Kansas 1
10 Ohio State 2
11 Virginia Tech 10
12 Oklahoma State 3
13 Oregon 5
14 Miami (Florida) 10
15 Iowa 1
16 Penn State 1
17 Mississippi 3
18 Georgia Tech
19 Auburn
20 Wisconsin 5
21 Missouri
22 Nebraska 1
23 Pittsburgh 1
24 South Florida
25 Central Michigan
Last week's ballot

Dropped Out: Houston (#7), Oklahoma (#11), Michigan (#13), California (#19), Georgia (#20).

  • I wasn't terribly impressed with Virginia Tech's win over Duke. However, I erred in placing them so low last week after their big win over Miami. That is the reason for their placement this week.
  • I still haven't decided if the top teams in the ACC are any good, though I admit being impressed with Miami's win over Oklahoma.
  • When will BCS conference unbeatens Auburn and Wisconsin start getting any respect? Well, the answer is obviously "when they play someone," and that starts this weekend, as Wisconsin draws Ohio State and Auburn travels to play a decent Arkansas team.
  • This answer doesn't work for South Florida, who has already beaten Florida State. Then again, does anyone really know how good Florida State is?
  • Central Michigan over Notre Dame? Hey, it's 25th place. Who cares?

Friday, October 02, 2009

Bulldog Hockey Updates Galore!

Saturday is the dawn of a new UMD hockey season. The Bulldogs face off against British Columbia in an exhibition game at the DECC.

If you're not a DECC/roadtrip regular, there are many ways you can follow the action.

For starters, check this blog regularly. We'll have previews, pregame updates (including lineups for each team), analysis, and more throughout the season.

From there, you can listen to the games on The Fan 1490, or on their new website. During games, and at random times throughout the season, Bulldog hockey updates can be found on my Twitter page.

We invite you to head down to Grandma's Sports Garden on Friday afternoons prior to UMD home events for the UMD Luncheons. Coaches and Fan personalities are on hand, and it's a fun atmosphere.

It should be an exciting season. The Bulldogs plan to dress 14 forwards, seven defensemen, and three goalies for Saturday's "practice game." The real opener is next Friday against Lake Superior State.

Now's a good time to get your tickets and get behind the defending WCHA playoff champions.

NFL Week 4: Old Man and the Purple


If you don't have Brett Favre on your mind, you're not human.

That's what most of the NFL media wants you to think, and that's what Brett himself would love for you to believe.

As the future Hall of Famer prepares for his first shot at the Packers, all the talk this week seems to be centered around the revenge angle. Favre did his best to downplay that by denying it, but no one who is reasonably intelligent will believe him on that.

His counterpart, Aaron Rodgers, is saying even less, keeping a low profile and refusing to even mention Favre by name.

My guess is the two share a polite handshake after Monday's game, but I honestly don't think either is on the other's Christmas card list. For Rodgers, it's been a long, tough battle to become a starting quarterback. Despite early assertions that Favre didn't think he had to mentor Rodgers, the young buck hasn't said a single negative word about Favre, outside of a January radio interview where he said Favre hadn't been returning his calls.

Favre, meanwhile, is obviously bitter that Rodgers took his wife car locker house power tools job? That can't be it, right?

The 3-0 Vikings were challenged Sunday against San Francisco. They answered the bell thanks to Greg Lewis' heroic catch of an equally heroic Favre throw.

The 2-1 Packers were challenged two weeks ago by upstart Cincinnati. The Packers failed to respond in that game until it was too late, and they took a 31-24 loss.

In the end, that's really all we have to go on. The Packers, having played Chicago and Cincinnati, have likely played a tougher schedule, but it's only three games, so there's no point speaking in absolutes on such a topic.

We're back to the normal things that decide a football game. Both teams have advantages. Minnesota clearly has the superior running game and overall defense. The Packers have the better quarterback and they are more effective at protecting the football and taking it away from the opponent.

The Vikings are at home, but that's not as big an advantage as it is against other opponents. There will be (literally) thousands of Packer fans at Monday's game.

Motivation is a two-way street. Favre wants this badly, but so does Rodgers, and their respective teams.

It's a game that is likely to come down to something stupid. A fumble, tipped interception, bad fake-punt call, bad officiating, or something like that.

I haven't picked against the Packers since the middle of Mike McCarthy's first season, but I am low on reasons why I should be convinced they will win this one. The Vikings are on a roll, and a banged-up and flawed Packer team isn't the one to stop them.
The pick: Minnesota

Other games (home team in CAPS)

CHICAGO over Detroit
Cincinnati over CLEVELAND
INDIANAPOLIS over Seattle
N.Y. Giants over KANSAS CITY
WASHINGTON over Tampa Bay
JACKSONVILLE over Tennessee
HOUSTON over Oakland
NEW ENGLAND over Baltimore
NEW ORLEANS over N.Y. Jets
MIAMI over Buffalo
DENVER over Dallas
SAN FRANCISCO over St. Louis
PITTSBURGH over San Diego

Last week: 12-4
Season: 30-18

Thursday, October 01, 2009

Jay Rosehill Fights in NHL Debut

Well, that didn't take long.

Former UMD Bulldog Jay Rosehill, making his NHL debut Thursday night, waited all of two shifts before dropping the gloves for the first time.

At 10:55 of the first period, the Maple Leafs left winger (a defenseman until a recent position change) got into it with Montreal veteran Travis Moen. Rosehill's first regular season fight was Moen's 47th, but it doesn't appear that experience was much of an advantage.



There may be bias here, but Rosehill is a clear winner. You can actually vote on the winner at the Hockey Fights website.

College Football Weekend Preview: Way to Kill the Buzz, Guys


There were two marquee games this weekend. California was going to take down USC for Pac 10 supremacy, and Oklahoma was going to battle Miami in a game that saw the upstart Hurricanes trying to prove themselves against an elite program.

A funny thing happened on the way.

The buzz got killed.

USC went to Seattle and lost to lowly Washington. Then, California got absolutely thrashed by Oregon. If that wasn't enough, Miami's unbeaten season came crashing down last week at Virginia Tech.

Poor ABC. Now, they're stuck doing regional coverage of two games that no one cares nearly enough about.

The better of the two games should be the Cal-USC tilt. The Bears, despite last week's horrific flop in Eugene, are well-positioned to take down the Trojans. They have one of the best running backs in the country in Jahvid Best and an emerging defense. USC's defense is great, but the offense is still shaky behind freshman quarterback Matt Barkley. Not helping matters is a scary weightlifting accident that took down running back Stafon Johnson for an undetermined period of time (thankfully, Johnson is expected to make a full recovery).

Given Oregon's obvious flaws, it's still likely that the Pac 10's BCS berth will go to the winner of this game. Then again, Stanford could still win it, and you just never know.

Anyway, this appears to be a good time to play USC. They're beaten down a bit, really hurting on one side of the ball, and Cal gets them at home. That's all the reason to think Cal will win, despite the fact that it's Cal and they just lost 42-3 to a team they should have been able to beat.
The pick: California

Oklahoma at Miami: The Hurricanes took a whoopin' in Blacksburg last week, but they're talented enough to rebound. Their speed could be a problem for Oklahoma, but much of this depends on whether quarterback Jacory Harris can rebound and play with the same kind of swagger we saw against Georgia Tech two weeks ago. If he can't, the Hurricanes are in trouble. Their defense will face a serious challenge, especially if Sam Bradford returns for this game. Even if he doesn't, Oklahoma's physical line and solid running game will be problematic for Miami. This is a more experienced Oklahoma team that has more to lose. They can still claim a real shot at the BCS title game, even with that loss to BYU.

(Miami, meanwhile, is a long shot at best. An ACC loss is not going to look good for them, even if they can beat Oklahoma and run the table. They'd need help to get ahead of teams like Florida, Alabama, and Texas in the BCS.)

Despite the pressure on OU, they have the talent, experience, coaching, and smarts to overcome it, even without a healthy Bradford in the fold.

(UPDATE: Joe Schad reports that Landry Jones will start. Doesn't change anything here.)
The pick: Oklahoma

Michigan at Michigan State: Yes, Michigan is unbeaten, and that's nice. But this is an instate rivalry with plenty of juice, even if you don't consider the records. Sparty needs to do something to show that their 1-3 record is a fluke. They've lost excruciatingly close games to Central Michigan, Notre Dame, and Wisconsin in succession, though the Wisconsin game was only close thanks to a touchdown with 15 seconds to play. Michigan is shaky on defense, but their opponent this week might be worse. The Spartans have been torched on the ground and through the air in this three-game skid, and it seems that they're going to have a ton of trouble dealing with the Wolverines' spread offense.
The pick: Michigan

Wisconsin at Minnesota: The Gophers deserve a lot of credit. After the tough loss to Cal, they responded with their best all-around effort of the season in a win at Northwestern. The Badgers, meanwhile, served notice that they intend to contend in the Big Ten, taking a 38-17 lead into the final minutes against Michigan State, a team thought to be a tough out in the league. The Gophers still haven't won Paul Bunyan's Axe since kicker Rhys Lloyd hit a game-winner on the last play of the game in 2003 and sprinted across the field to be the first one to grab it. Wisconsin's goal is to ruin the Big Ten opener at TCF Bank Stadium and keep the Gophers' bad Axe karma rolling for one more year. They need to tighten the screws defensively against Eric Decker and the Gophers' free-wheeling attack in order to do this. Luckily for Wisconsin, they have a potential star at quarterback in Scott Tolzien, and John Clay is the most physical running back the Badgers have had since Ron Dayne.
The pick: Wisconsin

LSU at Georgia: Hard to be overwhelmed by anything these teams have done. LSU barely beat Mississippi State last week, while Georgia needed a late field goal to top Arizona State. You could argue both teams were just looking ahead, which is fine, and this should be an entertaining game, but both squads still have some work to do. LSU's defense isn't nearly as good as people thought it would be when John Chavis took over as coordinator. Meanwhile, Georgia really, really misses Matthew Stafford. The Bulldogs struggled in a game against another top team, Oklahoma State, earlier in the season, and even though this one is at home, the Tigers appear to be a bit better right now.
The pick: LSU

Other games (home team in CAPS)

Northwestern over PURDUE
Penn State over ILLINOIS
STANFORD over Ucla
BOSTON COLLEGE over Florida State
North Carolina State over WAKE FOREST
Ohio State over INDIANA
ARKANSAS over Texas A&M
Auburn over TENNESSEE

Last week: 6-7
Season: 32-18